Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop

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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables company outlook this year

Company makes third cut to renewables business outlook this year


Reduces both margin and volume outlook


Weaker diesel market hits biofuel rates


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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto


HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel service for the third time this year due to falling prices and likewise decreased its anticipated sales volumes, sending the company's share rate down 10%.


Neste stated a drop in the cost of routine diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input expenses for waste and residue feedstock remained high.


A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce sustainable diesel has actually produced a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering profit margins for refiners and threatening to hinder the nascent market.


Neste in a declaration slashed the anticipated typical equivalent sales margin of its renewables system to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.


The business now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes instead of the 4.4 million it had actually predicted because the start of the year, it included.


A part of the volume cut originated from the production of sustainable aviation fuel, of which it is now expected to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, down from between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen formerly, Neste stated.


"Renewable products' list prices have been adversely affected by a considerable decline in (the) diesel price throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a statement.


"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock costs have actually not decreased and renewable item market cost premiums have remained weak," the company included.


Industry executives and analysts have said quickly expanding Chinese biodiesel manufacturers are looking for brand-new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have actually revealed they are pausing expansion plans in Europe.


While the cut in Neste's assistance on sales volumes of sustainable air travel fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel cost was to be anticipated, Inderes expert Petri Gostowski said.


Neste's share price had reversed some losses by 1037 GMT however remained down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki; Editing by Terje Solsvik and Jan Harvey)

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